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**EXAMINATION NOTICE NO. 12/2012-IES/ISS DATED : 01.09.2012 (LAST DATE FOR SUBMISSION OF APPLICATIONS : 01.10.2012) INDIAN ECONOMIC SERVICE/INDIAN STATISTICAL SERVICE EXAMINATION, 2012**

**APPENDIX-I
SCHEME OF EXAMINATION
SECTION-I**

1. The examination shall be conducted according to the following Plan:

**Part I. ** Written examination carrying a maximum of 1000 marks in the subjects as shown below.

**Part II. ** Viva voce of such candidates as may be called by the Commission, carrying a maximum of 200 marks.

**PART-I**

The subjects of the written examination under Part I, the maximum marks allotted to each subject/paper and the time allowed shall be as follows:A.INDIAN CONOMIC SERVICE

Sl.No |
Subject |
Maximum marks |
Time allowed |

1 | General English | 100 | 3 hours |

2 | General Studies | 200 | 3 hours |

3 | General Economics-I | 200 | 3 hours |

4 | General Economics-II | 200 | 3 hours |

5 | General Economics-III | 200 | 3 hours |

6 | Indian Economics | 200 | 3 hours |

**B. INDIAN STATISTICAL SERVICE**

Sl.No |
Subject |
Maximum marks |
Time allowed |

1 | General English | 100 | 3 hours |

2 | General Studies | 100 | 3 hours |

3 | Statistics-I | 200 | 3 hours |

4 | Statistics-II | 200 | 3 hours |

5 | Statistics-III | 200 | 3 hours |

6 | Statistics-IV | 200 | 3 hours |

Note: The details of standard and syllabi for the examination are given in Section II below.

2. The question papers in all the subjects will be of Conventional (essay) type.

3. ALL QUESTION PAPERS MUST BE ANSWERED IN ENGLISH. QUESTION PAPERS WILL BE SET IN ENGLISH ONLY.

4. Candidates must write the papers in their own hand. In no circumstances will they be allowed the help of a scribe to write the answers for them. However, blind candidates will be allowed to write the examination with the help of a scribe. An extra time of 30 minutes for each paper will also be allowed to a blind candidate.

An extra time of twenty minutes per hour shall be permitted for the candidates with locomotor disability and cerebral palsy where dominant (writing) extremity is affected to the extent of slowing the performance of function (minimum of 40 % impairment) in Indian Economic Service/ Indian Statistical Service Examination. However no scribe shall be permitted to such candidates.

** PART-II**

**Viva voce**–The candidate will be interviewed by a Board of competent and unbiased observers who will have before them a record of his/her career. The object of the interview is to assess his/ her suitablity for the Service for which he/she has competed. The interview is intended to supplement the written examination for testing the general and specialised knowledge and abilities of the candidate. The candidate will be expected to have taken an intelligent interest not only in his/her subjects of academic study but also in events which are happening around him/ her both within and outside his/her own State or country, as well as in modern currents of thought and in new discoveries which should rouse the curiosity of well-educated youth.

2. The technique of the interview is not that of a strict cross examination, but of a natural, through directed and purposive conversation, intended to reveal mental qualities of the candidate and his/her grasp of problems. The Board will pay special attention to assessing the intellectual curiosity, critical powers of assimilation, balance of judgement and alertness of mind, the ability for social cohesion, integrity of character, initiation and capacity of leadership.

**SECTION-II
STANDARD AND SYLLABI**

The standard of papers in General English and General Studies will be such as may be expected of a graduate of an Indian University.The standard of papers in the other subjects will be that of the Master’s degree examination of an Indian University in the relevant disciplines. The candidates will be expected to illustrate theory by facts, and to analyse problems with the help of theory. They will be expected to be particularly conversant with Indian problems in the field of economic/Statistics.

Candidates will be required to write an essay in English. Other questions will be designed to test their understanding of English and workmanlike use of words. Passages will usually be set for summary or precis.

General Knowledge including knowledge of current events and of such matters of every day observation and experience in their scientific aspects as may be expected of an educated person who has not made a special study of any scientific subject. The paper will also include questions on Indian Polity including the political system and the Constitution of India, History of India and Geography of a nature which the candidate should be able to answer without special

study.

PART A:

2. Theory of Production: Factors of production and production function. Forms of Production Functions: Cobb-Douglas, CES and Fixed coefficient type, Translog production function. Laws of return, Returns to scale and Return to factors of production. Duality and cost function,Measures of productive efficiency of firms, technical and allocative efficiency. Partial Equilibrium versus General Equilibrium approach. Equilibrium of the firm and industry.

Quantitative Methods in Economics:

A K Sen’s critique. Sen’s capability approach to economic development. The Human Development Index. Physical quality of Life Index and Human Povery Index.

4. State, Market and Planning: Planning in a developing economy. Planning regulation and market. Indicative Planning. Decentralised Planning.

Elements of measure theory, Classical definitions and axiomatic approach. Sample space. Class of events and Probability measure. Laws of total and compound probability. Probability of m events out of n. Conditional probability, Bayes’ theorem. Random variables - discrete andcontinuous. Distribution function. Standard probability distributions - Bernoulli, uniform, binomial, Poisson, geometric, rectangular, exponential, normal, Cauchy, hypergeometric, multinomial,Laplace, negative binomial, beta, gamma, lognormal and compound. Poisson distribution. Joint distributions, conditional distributions, Distributions of functions of random variables. Convergence in distribution, in probability, with probability one and in mean square. Moments and cumulants. Mathematical expectation and conditional expectation. Characteristic function and moment and probability generating functions Inversion uniqueness and continuity theorems. Borel 0-1 law:Kolmogorov’s 0-1 law. Tchebycheff’s and Kolmogorov’s inequalities. Laws of large numbers and central limit theorems for independent variables. Conditional expectation and artingales.

(a) Collection, compilation and presentation of data, Charts, diagrams and histogram. Frequency distribution. Measures of location, dispersion, skewness and kurtosis. Bivariate and multivariate data. Association and contingency. Curve fitting and orthogonal polynomials. Bivariate normal distribution. regression-linear, polynomial. Distribution of the correlation coefficient, Partial and multiple correlation, Intraclass correlation, Correlation ratio.

(b) Standard errors and large sample test. Sampling distributions of x,s2, t, chisqure and F; tests of significance based on them, Small sample tests.

(c) Non-parametric tests-Goodness of fit, sign, median, run, Wicloxon, Mann-Whitney, WaldWolfowitz and Kolmogorov-Smirnov. Rank order statistics-minimum,maximum,range and median. Concept of Asymptotic relative effciency.

Interpolation formulae (with remainder terms) due to Lagrange, Newton-Gregory, Newton Divided different, Gauss and Striling. Euler-Maclaurin’s summation formula. Inverse interpolation. Numerical integration and differentiation. Difference equations of the first order. Linear difference equations with constant coefficients.

1. Linear Models

Characteristics of good estimator. Estimation methods of maximum likelihood, minimum chi- square, moments and least squares. Optimal properties of maximum likelihood estimators. Minimum variance unbiased estimators. Minimum variance bound estimators. Cramer-Rao inequality. Bhattacharya bounds. Sufficient estimator. factorisation theorem. Complete statistics. Rao-Blackwell theorem. Confidence interval estimation. Optimum confidence bounds. Resampling,Bootstrap and Jacknife.

b) Statistical Quality Control: Control Charts for variable and attributes. Acceptance Sampling by attributes-Single, double, multiple and sequential Sampling plans; Concepts of AOQL and ATI; Acceptance Sampling by variables-use of Dodge-Romig and other tables.

1

Census versus sample survey. Pilot and large scale sample surveys. Role of NSS organisation. Simple random sampling with and without replacement. Stratified sampling and sample allocations. Cos and Variance functions. Ratio and Regression methods of estimation. Sampling with probability proportional to size. Cluster, double, multiphase, multistage and systematic sampling. Interpenetrating sub-sampling. Non-sampling errors.

Principles of design of experiments. Layout and analysis of completely randomised, randomised block and Latin square designs. Factorial experiments and onfounding in 2n and 3n experiments. Split-plot and strip-plot designs. Construction and analysis of balanced and partially balanced incomplete block designs. Analysis of covariance. Analysis of non-orthogonal data. analysis of missing and mixed plot data.

Components of time series. Methods of their determination-variate difference method. Yule- Slutsky effect. Correlogram. Autoregressive models of first and second order. Periodogram analysis. Index numbers of prices and quantities and their relative merits. Construction of index numbers of wholesale and consumer prices. Income distribution-Pareto and Engel curves. Concentration curve. Methods of estimating national income. Inter-sectoral flows. Inter-industry table. Role of SO.

Theory and analysis of consumer demand-specification and estimation of demand functions. Demand elasticities. Structure and model. Estimation of parameters in single equation modelclassical least squares, generalised least-square, heteroscedasticity, serial correlation, multicollinearity, errors in variable model.

Simultaneous equation models-Identification, rank and other conditions. Indirect least squares and two stage least squares. Short-term economic forecasting.

Specifications of a Stochastic Process, Markov chains, classification of states, limiting probabilities; stationary distribution; Random walk and Gambler’s ruin roblem. Poisson process, Birth and death process; applications to Queues-M/M/I and M/M/C models. Branching Process.

Elements of linear programming. Simplex procedure. Pirnciple of duality. Transport and assignment problems. Single and multi-period inventory control models. ABC analysis. General simulation problems. Replacemnet models for items that fail and or items that deteriorate.

The life table, its constitution and pro

Data processing: Digital Number System, Number conversions, Binary representation of integers, Binary representation of real numbers, Logical Data element like haracter, fields, records, files, Fundamentals of data transmission and processing incluidng error control and error processing. Data base management: Data esource management. Data base and file organisation and procesing. (a) Direct, (b) Sequantial, (c) Indexed Sequential file. Concepts of Client Server architecture, Data Base Administrator. An overview of DBMS software.

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